Image Credit: Christophe Vorlet
By Jason Zweig | July 29, 2016 11:05 am ET
Among investors, familiarity doesn’t breed contempt; it breeds comfort. And that can be dangerous.
Consider how employees save for retirement. Your salary already depends on the health of the company you work for. So putting part of your retirement money into your company’s stock is piling risk upon risk. Yet people do it anyway.
Since June, four dozen companies whose stock fell by at least half in 2015 have filed disclosure forms to the Securities and Exchange Commission on their 401(k) and other savings plans. By my estimate, workers at these companies lost $1 billion in 2015 by over-investing in the stock of their own employer.
Consider Kinder Morgan, the energy pipeline and storage company based in Houston. As of the end of 2014, its employees had chosen to put $172 million of their retirement plan into Kinder Morgan’s stock. By the end of 2015, after its stock fell 62.8% for the year, only $69 million remained.
The stock has gained 38% so far in 2016. Since year-end 2014, however, it has lost 48.4%, including dividends, while the S&P 500 is up 9%.
Kinder Morgan caps contributions to its stock at 20% and doesn’t permit exchanges into company stock once it reaches 35% of an employee’s assets. A Kinder Morgan spokeswoman says it is “a positive example of a company that puts limits and diversification requirements in place to protect its employees.”
Alongside a 401(k), some companies offer employee stock-purchase plans in which you may buy shares at a discount of up to 15%. You could, and probably should, resell the shares on the open market and pocket the difference.
But allowing a concentrated position in your company’s stock to build up in a 401(k) is a bad idea.
Even the U.S. Supreme Court — ruling on one of the many lawsuits that have arisen over losses on company stock in savings plans — has held that encouraging employees to own a stake in the company they work for is a laudable goal. But the court also found that retirement plans mustn’t let that goal undermine the “duty of prudence” to maximize employees’ savings and avoid “excessive risk.”
Every investor’s portfolio consists of financial and human capital. Your financial capital is cash, bonds, stocks and the like; your human capital is the income you will earn from your work over your lifetime. The more your financial and human capital overlap, the more vulnerable you are to risks outside your control.
In 2015, home prices in Houston fell by more than 7% in the second half of the year. A worker with most of his retirement money in Kinder Morgan stock could end up with a shriveled nest egg and a house worth less than he paid for it, all at the same time.
Such risks don’t go away because a stock has performed well lately.
At South Jersey Industries, a natural-gas utility based in Folsom, N.J., employees are urged to diversify and may sell their shares at any time.
Over the past two decades, SJI has returned an average of 14% annually, outperforming the S&P 500 by nearly six percentage points.
So 61% of the 401(k) plan remains in SJI’s stock.
That’s down from 91% in 2002. But it was enough to shrink SJI’s total 401(k) assets by one-seventh in 2015, almost entirely because the company’s stock lost 17% in what Marissa Travaline, head of investor relations, calls a “repositioning year.”
SJI’s stock is up 38% in 2016, but over the past five years it still trails the stock market by an average of five percentage points annually. The company expects younger employees to continue allocating less to its own stock, says Ms. Travaline.
That trend is growing. The Plan Sponsor Council of America, which represents companies offering retirement plans, says under 7% of them have at least half their assets in company stock, down from 17% a decade ago.
Holding hundreds of unfamiliar companies feels a lot scarier than investing in the one you show up to work at every day. A recent survey of 1,500 people found that 51% believed that a diversified bundle of 10 investments is more volatile than a portfolio consisting of only a single stock.
But nothing could be further from the truth.
As any Enron employee will tell you, being on the inside doesn’t mean you can foretell a company’s future. And any single stock can deliver wildly different results than the overall market.
In 2013, when the Wilshire 5000 stock index gained a spectacular 34%, one-fifth of all stocks lost money, according to index provider Wilshire Associates and AJO, a Philadelphia-based investment firm. In 2014, although the total U.S. stock market gained 12%, more than four out of every 10 stocks went down anyway. In 2015, only five companies — Amazon.com, Alphabet, Microsoft, Facebook and General Electric — accounted for well over 100% of the return of the U.S. stock market.
Invest in all the companies at once, through a total stock-market index fund, and you eliminate your risk of missing out on every other winner out there. You also minimize the damage if your own company turns out to be a loser.
Source: The Wall Street Journal
For further reading: Chapter Five, Your Money and Your Brain